← Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 19.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 6.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arisanna, Lucent Arbiter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ravaging Tempest | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Humpty Dumpty, Fate's Fall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nurture Crops | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orbiting Cosmos | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tend the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunar Conduit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nascent Barrier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horticounter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |